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Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy.

  • By James D. Hamilton, Menzie Chinn
  • Based in United States of America
  • Roughly three posts per day
  • First post on

Posts per month

Data for this chart is available in the table below
Posts per month
Month starting Posts
Jan 2023 14
Feb 2023 43
Mar 2023 57
Apr 2023 44
May 2023 42
Jun 2023 30
Jul 2023 39
Aug 2023 55
Sep 2023 45
Oct 2023 31
Nov 2023 36
Dec 2023 37
Jan 2024 47
Feb 2024 41
Mar 2024 63
Apr 2024 57
May 2024 42

Any gaps could be due to errors when fetching the blog’s feed.

Most recent posts

Recession Probabilities in Light of the Ever-Receding Recession
If no recession is forthcoming, what can we conclude, given most term spread models were signaling a “sure bet”? Unlikely outcome (it’s a probabilistic world!), breakdown in historical correlations, omitted variable problem? In order to …
On , by Menzie Chinn, 308 words
May SPF GDP Forecast (updated w/17 May Nowcasts)
Continued growth (report): Figure 1 (updated): GDP (bold black), May SPF median (light blue), GDPNow of 5/16 (blue square), New York Fed nowcast of 5/17 (green triangle), St. Louis Fed nowcast of 5/17 (tan square), …
On , by Menzie Chinn, 134 words
Wisconsin Employment Trends Sideways
DWD reports on April figures. This allows for the following picture of Wisconsin macro aggregates. Figure 1: Wisconsin Nonfarm Payroll Employment (dark blue), Philadelphia Fed early benchmark measure of NFP (pink), Civilian Employment (tan), real …
On , by Menzie Chinn, 170 words