Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy.
- By James D. Hamilton, Menzie Chinn
- Based in United States of America
- Roughly two posts per day
- First post on
Posts per month
Month starting | Posts |
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Jan 2023 | 14 |
Feb 2023 | 43 |
Mar 2023 | 57 |
Apr 2023 | 44 |
May 2023 | 42 |
Jun 2023 | 30 |
Jul 2023 | 39 |
Aug 2023 | 55 |
Sep 2023 | 45 |
Oct 2023 | 31 |
Nov 2023 | 36 |
Dec 2023 | 6 |
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Most recent posts
Lavorgna (SMBC Nikko) and Millar (Barclays) say look to GDI for a better estimate of economic activity. Both argue that GDI might better signal an incipient recession (USAToday): Figure 1: GDP (bold black), GDO (bold …
Monthly GDP, as estimated by SPGMI (formerly IHS Markit/Macroeconomic Advisers) drops 0.5% m/m (-6.3% annualized!) Figure 1: Nonfarm Payroll employment incorporating preliminary benchmark (bold dark blue), implied level using Bloomberg consensus as of 12/4 (blue …
Today, we are pleased to present a guest contribution written by Kevin Pallara, Luca Rossi, and Fabrizio Venditti of the Bank of Italy. The views presented in this note represent those of the authors and …